Recently the issue of 50% DA Merger has
reached the peak of expectations. Though the central government knew this
development, the govt has knowingly said nothing against or favor of 50% DA
Merger. Its silence on this important issue simply added the fuel to the fire
of expectation. After the Election announcement, the hope on 50% DA merger is
now slowly eroding. Many central government employees Federations expressed
their disappointment with 7th CPC Terms of reference and merger of 50% DA was
not considered by central government. After this disappointment the central
government employees are now getting back to their routines. So they have
started thinking about what next..!
As the rate of dearness allowance from
January 2014 has been declared, the necessary order for payment of Additional
installment of Dearness Allowance from January 2014 has to be issued by Finance
Ministry. The enhanced rate of Dearness allowance will be paid w.e.f .1.1.2014.
The enhanced rate will be paid with the disbursement of salary for the month of
March 2014. The increase of dearness allowance became due from
January 2014 to February 2014 will be paid as
arrears.
Let us move on to ‘Expected
dearness allowance from July 2014’
what will be the rate of DA from July 2014 ?
The AICPIN for Industrial Workers for Seven
Months from July 2013 to January 2014 have been released by Labour Bureau. The
AICPIN for last two Months i.e December2013 and January 2014 have been declined
by 4 and 2 points and pegged at 239 and 237 respectively. At present it is
quite difficult to predict the trend of the Consumer Price Index for remaining
5 Months, as so many factors like election and policies of new government
involved in it.
However, according to these seven months
AICPIN, we have three Probabilities …
|
No
|
Probabilities
|
Expected Increase in Dearness allowance from July 2014
|
Expected DA from July 2014
|
|
1
|
If this declining trend continues for remaining 5 Months by 1 or
2 points
|
3%
|
103%
|
|
2
|
If the trend continues with movement between plus or Minus 2
points
|
5%
|
105%
|
|
3
|
If it continues with increasing trend by 2 points
|
7%
|
107%
|
According to the AICPIN released till now,
the above possibilities have been arrived. As per above prediction the expected
dearness allowance from July 2014 will be from 103% to 107%.
Source: www.gservants.com
[http://www.gservants.com/2014/03/11/expected-dearness-allowance-july-2014/]
